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Update: Bitter Sweet

November 30th 2006 10:11
Movements in the market today was rather volatile but it ended up positive with the ASX S&P 200 benchmark index adding 0.5% to a close of 5482.1 points. The volatile display was generated by two constracting factors arising from overseas and local leads. Analysts believed the positive ending today was a correction but indicators are pointing to a downside for the market as compared to views two days ago, which believed the market was going to be on a sideway trend but a happier ending is possible for the end of the year.

The overseas lead from the US market was based on raising the third quater economic growth while the local front produced a rather negative outlook for the market as consumer spending is believed to be going south in the coming periods.


Meanwhile the Portfolio 1.5 - EW* had a good closing by beating the benchmark index by nearly half a percent, as returns closed 0.99% higher to 35.6%. Profits, after transaction costs, closed $425 higher to $14,063.



Winner stocks are highlighted in yellow

For those of you who keep track the Portfolio 1.5 - EW, what do you think? Do you think it is a viable investment strategy?


*Disclosure

NOT SPECIFIC INVESTMENT ADVICE

This information has been prepared for distribution over the internet and without taking into account the investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any particular person.


The blogger makes no recommendations as to the merits of any investment opportunity referred to in its website. It is advisable to obtain specific investment advice before making anyinvestment decisions relying on the information provided. While the information available in this publication is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, the blogger gives no assurances or guarantees that the information is accurate, complete or current.

The information is provided for informational purposes only and not intended to constitute legal, financial or professional advice. It has no regard to the investment objectives or circumstances (financial or otherwise) of particular recipients, and is not an exhaustive outline of available investment opportunities.

Appropriate professional advice should be obtained prior to acting on any information contained in this publication. The blogger will not be liable for any loss or damage incurred by any person directly or indirectly as a result of reliance on the information contained in this publication.

PAST RESULTS
Any past results shown or mentioned in any of our reports or web pages do not guarantee future performance.

ACCURACY OF DATA
Whilst all information on this site is believed to be accurate, we take no responsibility and give no assurances that it is accurate. We advise that you to double check any
data before acting upon this information.
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Update: A Blip

November 29th 2006 03:55
The Portfolio 1.5 - EW* took a blip yesterday by posting a loss of 0.36% to a closing return of 34.35% or $56,584 in total portfolio value. Profits were down by $153 to $13,537 after deducting first round of transactions of $30 per trade.



Winner stocks are highlighted in yellow

The market yesterday took a dive as well as fears of consumer spending slowdown in the US during the festive season looks to be solidifying by the day. The ASX S&P 200 benchmark index slipped 1.2% or 67.9 points to 5384.3 points after investors took into consideration of the pessimistic US situation and crude oil price fears, currently at USD60 per barrel. But all is well as there needs to be some correction for the market for it has been a rather volatile period lately. Analysts believe the market will go sideways for the time being but would eventually recover back to level as it should be at the end of the year, afterall the local market is not overvalued, there are still some stairways to run up.

Adding to the optimism, the RBA expects inflation for the coming year to be controlled as oil and banana prices are believe to head south. If the expecatations are indeed true, it augurs well for the people as interest rates will be remain as it is.


*Disclosure

NOT SPECIFIC INVESTMENT ADVICE

This information has been prepared for distribution over the internet and without taking into account the investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any particular person.

The blogger makes no recommendations as to the merits of any investment opportunity referred to in its website. It is advisable to obtain specific investment advice before making anyinvestment decisions relying on the information provided. While the information available in this publication is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, the blogger gives no assurances or guarantees that the information is accurate, complete or current.

The information is provided for informational purposes only and not intended to constitute legal, financial or professional advice. It has no regard to the investment objectives or circumstances (financial or otherwise) of particular recipients, and is not an exhaustive outline of available investment opportunities.

Appropriate professional advice should be obtained prior to acting on any information contained in this publication. The blogger will not be liable for any loss or damage incurred by any person directly or indirectly as a result of reliance on the information contained in this publication.

PAST RESULTS
Any past results shown or mentioned in any of our reports or web pages do not guarantee future performance.

ACCURACY OF DATA
Whilst all information on this site is believed to be accurate, we take no responsibility and give no assurances that it is accurate. We advise that you to double check any
data before acting upon this information.
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Update: In the opposites

November 28th 2006 04:00
The first day of the week saw the ASX S&P 200 benchmark index slipped 1.4 points to a close of 5,452.2 points as investors migrated from to resource stocks riding on the jump of metal prices. But the day was kind to Portfolio 1.5 - EW* as it added 1.82% to finish at a return of 34.71%. Profits, after first round of transaction costs, took in an extra $768 to $13,690 and closed the Monday value of the portfolio at $56,737.



The winner stocks are highlighted in yellow.

How I wish I was making the money.



*Disclosure

NOT SPECIFIC INVESTMENT ADVICE

This information has been prepared for distribution over the internet and without taking into account the investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any particular person.

The blogger makes no recommendations as to the merits of any investment opportunity referred to in its website. It is advisable to obtain specific investment advice before making anyinvestment decisions relying on the information provided. While the information available in this publication is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, the blogger gives no assurances or guarantees that the information is accurate, complete or current.

The information is provided for informational purposes only and not intended to constitute legal, financial or professional advice. It has no regard to the investment objectives or circumstances (financial or otherwise) of particular recipients, and is not an exhaustive outline of available investment opportunities.

Appropriate professional advice should be obtained prior to acting on any information contained in this publication. The blogger will not be liable for any loss or damage incurred by any person directly or indirectly as a result of reliance on the information contained in this publication.

PAST RESULTS
Any past results shown or mentioned in any of our reports or web pages do not guarantee future performance.

ACCURACY OF DATA
Whilst all information on this site is believed to be accurate, we take no responsibility and give no assurances that it is accurate. We advise that you to double check any
data before acting upon this information.
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Chill Out

November 25th 2006 03:57
The week ended with a dip for the market due to lack of overseas lead, as the US markets were closed for Thanksgiving, and the ASX S&P 200 benchmark index closed 33 points or 0.2% lower to 5453.6 points. However, the Portfolio 1.5 - EW* went salmon and contrasted the market by posting a gain of 1.23% to a total closing value of $55,969. Profits, after first transaction cost round, stands at $12,922 or a gain of $517 from previous closing. The portfolio return is at 32.89% as of Friday, 24th November, 2006.


[ Click here to read more ]
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On Track

November 23rd 2006 10:38
The Monday massive plunge wiping out $20 billion was plugged with a recovery of $18 billion back to the market on Wednesday accompanied by the buzz on Qantas being a target of a takeover by Macquarie Group and a US private equity group, Texas Pacific Group (TPG). The takeover hype continued its momentum today as the ASX S&P 200 benchmark index posted a gain of 21.2 points to a closing of 5446.9 points, which was further boosted by another takeover talk of Foster's after having been approached by the Belgium-based, world's largest brewer, InBev.

With a string of takeover frenzy by foreign private equity groups taking Australia by storm recently, does it, in anyway, indicate a degree of confidence on the local economy for time to come? By logical assumption, it would be so, as no one wants to buy companies in a country that is sliding to economic downturn. But, of course, it takes two to tango, in the sense that Aussie companies have the potential to run further than they can, if the tinkering was done, as believed by the private equity groups. However, one wonders why Qantas?, afterall they are sitting on some heavy debt and not to mention that the takeover, if through, will be financed by debt as well. Are they seeing something we are not seeing? or are they having a really good plan to turn the carrier around?

[ Click here to read more ]
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The following is the revised performance analysis of Portfolio 1.5 - EW replacing the findings first posted here on 16th November 2006. The analysis was revised due to data entry errors in the Sharpe Ratio computation, which the rest were unaffected. Taking the revision opportunity, a new test was performed to determine the Cumulative Average Returns of the portfolio. The findings are presented here:

Expected Return

[ Click here to read more ]
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Dived! - Market Update

November 21st 2006 06:23
The Portfolio 1.5 - EW Monday joined the market in what was the biggest one-day fall in three months. The portfolio closed 4.62% lower to a value of 25.21% from Friday's 29.83%. Net cost profits fell below the tenth thousands at $9,687.


[ Click here to read more ]
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A weekend sweetener

November 18th 2006 02:30
The market had a last minute push for the positives in an otherwise lacklustre trading day as the attention went on the upcoming protests against the G20 meeting in Melbourne. The late push certainly sweetened a beautiful Saturday as the bright warm sun beating down Melbourne with protesters, activists and marchers clogging the city roads in a show of force against the world's most powerful economic leaders summit opened in Australia's second largest city. Does liberal economic system breeds the crookedness in us? Was it only realised since the Seattle WTO meeting? The answer is mixed but making money is certainly a vocation naturally embedded in most of us.

Getting back to the market, the ASX S&P 200 benchmark index on Friday gained 0.5% to close at 5419.7 with a turnover of $4,510,544,434. Even analysts concluded it as unusual as the fundamentals were not pointing towards a better day of trades. The mixed metal prices the day before were predicting a flat day for the market. Always expect the unexpected.

[ Click here to read more ]
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Overpriced

November 17th 2006 00:31
Can the momentum sustained the run up of 10% gained by the market during the month of October? Sentiments are not tallying the direction as fund managers see the market as being overpriced relative to corporate earnings to be lower than expected. Likewise, the Portfolio 1.5 - EW also had its share of run ups with the returns peaked at 32.64% recently but have since seen a decline.

The US stockmarket gained grounds yesterday after the Feds left the rates unchanged but a slowdown in the US economy is expected for the coming year which does not augur well for the world and the local markets. Based on a forecast by Merrill Lynch the US economy is expected to grow 1.9% next year. A futher indication of the slowdown was provided by China with its October production down due to falling demands from the US.

[ Click here to read more ]
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Portfolio 1.5 - EW Performance Analysis

November 16th 2006 03:00
The results generated are suggestively positive with the performance of the portfolio exceeding expectations. The Portfolio 1.5 - EW, so far,have beaten the market and the returns were well ahead of its expected returns. The following are the findings from the Performance Analysis in terms of expected returns, risk and market relative performance:

Expected Return

[ Click here to read more ]
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It's certainly making money

November 15th 2006 01:58
I've been missing for the past three weeks due to my extremely tight schedule and commitments, so much, that I even neglected my portfolio (1.5 - EW) and market tracking during the period. I was completely clueless about the market because of my attention was needed somewhere else. As my attention was freed I realised Portfolio 1.5 - EW, throughout the neglected three weeks period, created wave of records that was a bit of surprise to me. I did not expect to perform so well.

Could it be by chance or indeed a practicle investment strategy? The results to date is certainly pointing to the direction that it is certainly working and making the money, no doubt. Can the success be replicated? Only consistent formulation and observation could confirm the hypothesis. Nevertheless, Portfolio 1.5 - EW was formulated from one fundamental technical factor with controls of factors such as number of shares traded and trading consensus. The outcome expected from this strategy is to expect an above average returns with little need of observing the current market trends and movements, as the formulating factor is a PREDICTIVE ELEMENT itself. The future state of market is to be expected to concur with the predictive outcomes from the factor. Hence, the lack of the need to observe the market closely.

[ Click here to read more ]
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So sweet that I'm scared

November 7th 2006 18:18
A quick update: The Portfolio 1.5 - EW formulated on August 2006, again created a record by posting its highest ever return on Melbourne Cup Day at 30.29% after deducting first round of transaction costs. I hope this experimental investment strategy is indeed a viable one. The results are so stunning, to me, that I am scared that its actually a fluke. I hope not. But so far, its real!

*I am extremely busy at the moment. Postings were be scare. Sorry, mates.
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A Tribute to Henry Fok

October 30th 2006 15:03
Although I am extremely busy at the moment resulting a hiatus but I am taking some time off to pay my respects and tribute to Mr.Henry Fok, a classic rags-to-riches Hong Kong tycoon, who passed away on Saturday 28th October of 2006 in Beijing.


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21.52%

October 22nd 2006 13:37
Yes, the Portfolio 1.5 - EW to date, made a return of 21.52%, after first round of transaction costs, in less than three months. Another record set with profits rose to $8,133. Likewise, the market ended the week by adding 0.9% as ASX S&P 200 benchmark index rose 50.1 points to 5233.5 level, fueled my media stocks.


[ Click here to read more ]
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Could it be a bubble?

October 18th 2006 14:20
I certainly hope that the portfolio I constructed is not becoming an overstreched bubble waiting to explode but a sustainable one reflective of the fundamentals. Running on tight schedule again, I will let the table below to do the talking.
Value : 20.91% (UP by 0.55%)
Profits: $7,879 (UP by $232)

[ Click here to read more ]
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